Drought: monitoring, forecasting and warning

Droughts are increasing in Switzerland due to climate change. Droughts can be a challenge for agriculture, energy supply, ecosystems and other areas. This is where the project 'Development and expansion of an early detection and warning system for drought' comes in. Starting in 2025, the federal government will provide a new drought platform with information for early detection (monitoring and forecasting) and warnings for all of Switzerland.


Why do we need information on drought?

Extreme natural hazard events are increasing due to climate change. They can occur more frequently, with more severity and in places not previously affected. More frequent and longer droughts are one example of this increase in natural hazard events. The climate scenarios for Switzerland show that this trend will continue.

The federal government has therefore decided to include drought in its natural hazard warnings and to make measurement data, forecasts and related information available online on a drought platform starting in 2025.

With good information and timely warnings, the responsible cantonal and communal authorities, the economic sectors and the public can better prepare for periods of drought. This enables them to plan early and initiate suitable measures. Examples include:

  • Communes: securing the drinking water supply and preparing information and recommendations for the public
  • Agriculture: planning/optimising irrigation management
  • Ship traffic/transport: planning alternatives to freight traffic on the Rhine

What is the aim of the drought project?

A national system for drought monitoring, forecasting and warning supplements the existing services of the federal government relating to natural hazards information and warning and implements the Federal Council decree of 18 May 2022. (Press release available in german, french and italian.)

A new drought platform will make information and data available online for this purpose starting in 2025. The drought data collected can be used not only for incident management, but also for science. The data helps to improve understanding of the direct and indirect effects of drought and to recognise important connections.

The drought warnings in particular make it possible to take precautions and react in a timely manner to prevent or minimise damage.

Which (federal) offices and agencies work together on the drought project?

Drought is a multifaceted phenomenon. Consequently, several federal offices work together on this project. These are: the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN), the Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology (MeteoSwiss) and the Federal Office of Topography (swisstopo). Each office is responsible for a different aspect in accordance with its area of expertise:

  • The FOEN manages the project, coordinates the development of the information platform and the warning chain (in collaboration with the Steering Committee on Intervention in Natural Hazards LAINAT) and is responsible for monitoring and modelling hydro(geo)logical and forestry impacts. The FOEN publishes the warning in consultation with the other federal offices.
  • MeteoSwiss is responsible for developing and operating the national soil moisture monitoring network. It also compiles and optimises drought indices (e.g. for the accumulated precipitation deficit) for monitoring as well as meteorological forecasts over extended periods (four weeks).
  • swisstopo is Switzerland's geoinformation centre. It provides data from satellites for drought monitoring with a spatial resolution of up to 10 metres. Both current and historical data is provided. One example is the monitoring of vegetation stress (the extent to which plants suffer from drought) using satellites, which swisstopo performs together with MeteoSwiss.

What causes drought?

In contrast to other natural hazards, drought is a phenomenon that builds up slowly. When many people hear the word 'drought', they immediately think of summer and hot weather. But drought can also occur in winter. Drought depends in general on the following factors:

  • Precipitation: This is the amount of rain or snow that falls in an area.
  • Soil moisture: This is the amount of water in the soil.
  • Discharge/water level: This is the amount of water stored in bodies of water or as groundwater.

A drought is therefore always a water shortage, regardless of the time of year.

What types of drought are there?

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) distinguishes between four types of drought, which differ in their origin and effects:

SCHWEIZ HITZEWELLE TROCKENHEIT LAC DE BRENETS
Stranded boats stuck in the mud on the dried-up banks of Lac des Brenets, part of the Doubs River, a natural border between eastern France and western Switzerland in August 2022.
© KEYSTONE/Laurent Gillieron

What all these types of drought have in common is that there is not enough water available in an area over an extended period of time to meet the current water demand. However, exactly how much is 'enough' varies depending on the sector and population concerned. In a given region, the soil may already be very dry, affecting agricultural production. However, there may still be enough water left in the bodies of water of the same region so that fishing and water ecology are not (yet) affected.

Soil: water storage and evaporation

The increasing drought has a strong impact on soil moisture. In combination with above-average temperatures and sunshine hours, this leads to the soil drying out considerably. The type of soil also plays a crucial role. While sandy soil, for example, cannot retain water well, clayey or organic soil can store water over a longer period of time.

The less water there is in the soil, the less water can evaporate from the soil surface, which leads to further warming and drying of the atmosphere. At the same time, fewer clouds form and it rains less. This dries out the soil even more.

In this case, does a heavy downpour help to resupply dry soil with sufficient water? Not necessarily. Very dry soil may not be able to allow rainwater to seep away quickly enough. The water simply runs off the rock-hard, crusted surface. This can lead to flooding and flash floods. This is also called 'surface runoff'.

Who is affected by drought?

The following areas can be negatively affected by drought:

SCHWEIZ TROCKENHEIT CHARMEY
A Swiss Army Super Puma helicopter fills up with water from Lake Montsalvens during the water supply of the Alps and forests in August 2022.
© KEYSTONE/Cyril Zingaro

Where can I find the drought platform and what content does it include?

The federal government's new drought platform goes online in spring 2025. A wide range of information on the current situation and forecasts for the coming four weeks will be made available at www.drought.admin.ch, along with historical data (e.g. precipitation, discharge, soil moisture, groundwater, vegetation stress). If extended droughts occur, warnings are also published on the platform.
Starting in 2025, the drought platform will be further developed and expanded on an ongoing basis.

The drought platform is based on the existing platform drought.ch of the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL). The website drought.ch will continue to operate as an experimental research platform once the new drought platform goes live.

What possibilities exist for dealing with future droughts?

The local effects of droughts can differ significantly. It is therefore important to obtain timely information and to follow the instructions of the local authorities if a drought occurs. More information on how to act during a drought will also be available starting in spring 2025 on the federal Natural Hazards Portal.

In the longer term, forward-looking adaptation strategies are needed to deal with increasing periods of drought. A few examples:

  • In agriculture, crops that require less water can be used. Irrigation methods can also be optimised. Smart soil moisture sensors can report when and how much water is needed. This ensures that irrigation is selective and performed only when it is really necessary. This saves water.
  • Water suppliers can increase their resilience to drought primarily through better networks. This includes the development and coordination of joint emergency plans between the various suppliers. These plans can define joint strategies in the event of extreme drought, such as the temporary redistribution of water resources. However, this requires investment in infrastructure, e.g. the construction of supra-regional pipeline networks. Networks create flexibility and ensure that bottlenecks can be compensated for locally so that the drinking water supply remains reliable even under difficult conditions.
  • Forestry aims to make forests more resilient so that they remain healthy in the long term and can continue to fulfil their functions (as a source of wood, protection against natural hazards, habitat, etc.). For example, more tree species can be planted that cope better with drought.

But as is so often the case, the following principle applies here as well: Prevention is better than cure. Instead of adapting to increasingly long and more frequent droughts, active climate protection (e.g. through the reduction of climate-damaging emissions) can significantly mitigate the increase in droughts, heat, heavy precipitation and lack of snow.

Further information

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Last modification 19.08.2024

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